Tennis betting - strategies for how and where to place tennis bets. Learning to bet on tennis together with the “lucky” one. What odds are best to bet on in tennis?

Tennis is one of the main sports on which clients of bookmakers place bets. A huge number of matches from various tournaments are presented daily in the list. You can apply various tennis betting strategies to them.

Naturally, all of the strategies listed below must be linked to financial strategies for sports betting. We are talking about the Kelly Criterion, flat, Miller management.

Strategies for betting on live tennis

Quite often, players use betting strategies during tennis matches. Let's look at a few of them. This is a bet on a tennis player who wins a tiebreaker (the set score is 7:6), a bet on 40/40 in games and a bet on the victory of the favorite who lost the first set.

Sets are won with a score of 7:6 by those players who easily won games on their own serves and started a fight on the opponent’s serves. You should use statistics on tiebreaks. Many tennis statistics sites indicate what percentage of tiebreakers a player wins. Tennis players with excellent technique and excellent serve usually have a high percentage of tiebreakers won. We pay attention to tennis players with a high percentage of tiebreakers won (between 60 and 70%).

We select live matches with scores of 5:5, 6:5. We look at the statistics and pay attention to the scores in the games. We pay attention to the duration of the games, the number of aces and the percentage of balls won on the first serve. We bet on winning the tiebreaker the tennis player who easily took his serve and had a chance to take the opponent's serve.

The bet size is calculated taking into account the odds and the size of the game bank. Be sure to use one or more financial strategies.

Another live tennis betting strategy is called 40/40. Its essence is that we will bet on this score in games. We will look for matches in which there are players of approximately equal strength who do not have a strong serve. Usually these are short tennis players with good technique. Examples of such tennis players are David Ferrer, Tim Henman, Michael Chang, etc.

The game must be played on a slow surface. Clay and sand courts are suitable, where games usually take a long time. Quite often the score in games on such courts is 40/40.

We will bet after 4 games played. It is necessary to see an equal fight in every game. There should be no easily won games.

Not all bookmakers accept bets on game accounts. Therefore, you will have to look for a suitable office. The bet size is also calculated using one of the methods indicated above.

An interesting bet is on the favorite losing the first set. Before the game starts, the odds for the top ten players to win vary between 1.05 and 1.25 depending on the opponent. But in long tournaments, sometimes it happens that the favorite doesn’t play very well in the first matches. This may be due to the specifics of preparation, when the peak of physical and gaming condition should come in the second week of competition.

Let's look at the tournament grid. If we see that the opponents of the first numbers are tennis players with strong serves, then we prepare ourselves that perhaps the first set will be lost by the favorite. Let's watch the first set. As soon as it ends with the defeat of the favorite, the odds for his victory in the match should rise to 1.6-1.7. We don't play it live. Usually the leaders get together and perform the next sets much stronger.

Tennis betting strategy for total over games

They provide players with the opportunity to bet on the total of games in a set and in a match. Most often, you can choose game totals in sets starting from 7.5 and ending with 12.5. For the match, the totals are between 21.5 and 24.5.

We will bet on players with a strong serve on the total. The ideal option would be a meeting between typical bidders. During a match they always score up to 2 dozen or even more aces. Among tennis players, John Isner and Mario Cilic have strong serves. Among those who have already completed their tennis careers, we note Pete Sampras, Goran Ivanisevic and Greg Rusedski.

If we look at the statistics of players with strong serves, we see that many sets with their participation end successfully. Scores like 7:6, 7:5, 6:4 occur regularly. Very often in meetings with the participation of “ace players” there is at least one tie-break in the set. They have a lot of three-set fights under their belt. This means that the total is broken through quite often and confidently.

Therefore, we will look for pairs involving tennis players who make a lot of aces and have a high percentage of first serves won. Typically, such tennis players confidently take their own serve, but are not known for playing well on someone else's serve. That is, they very often lose on someone else’s serve, since in other components of the game they are noticeably inferior to many players. We will select matches suitable for this strategy using statistical sites. Using this, we can easily find the number of service games won by tennis players and the number of games lost on the opponent’s serve.

It is best to choose fast coatings. It's hard and grass. On such courts, serving players perform better and take their serves more confidently.

Summary

It must be remembered that individual sports differ markedly from team sports. The well-being of the players and their condition on game day is very important here. These indicators can vary greatly from day to day as opposed to between teams. It is very important to monitor the level of play of tennis players as tournaments progress.

We place bets on tennis not only taking into account previous statistics, but also taking into account statistics during the games, if we bet live. If we bet before a match, we be sure to take into account statistics during the current tournament. We remember that a win-win tennis betting strategy will only be possible if there is proper financial management and a good understanding of the main points of this game.

Tennis is great for forecasting, if only because there are only two possible outcomes of a match. If taken seriously, betting on tennis matches, games, sets and the like is guaranteed to be a good source of additional or main profit. True, you will have to study for this, and this requires time and your desire, because in order to make money, you need to know how to bet on tennis correctly.

The procedure for betting on tennis is no different from betting on other sports. After choosing a bookmaker, you need to register and identify yourself, since we bet legally. I wrote about the right choice of bookmaker.

After completing these simple steps, top up your account at the office, but do not rush to bet, because you are new to this matter. If everything is clear from a technical point of view and placing bets on tennis is not difficult, then choosing the right outcome is much more difficult. In this article we will analyze the main points of tennis betting, which will help you start making money in sports betting.

Types of bets

Match outcome- who will win.

Total– number of games or sets (more details).

Correct score– won sets are counted (more details).

Can it bring live tennis betting strategy stable income? This is the dream of many cappers who are just starting to place bets, or have been betting for a long time. I looked at a huge number of different ways to play on the Internet - some turned out to be too risky, others banal, others unpromising and unprofitable. Today I will tell you how to place bets on tennis and at least be insured against large losses.

Live tennis betting strategy: to bet or not?

I want to approach this topic from a different angle. I'm not a tennis fan, so I don't bet on tennis. Besides, I hardly delve into this sport. Everything that I write next was told to me by one very successful capper who makes deals on tennis matches.

First, let's highlight the main advantages of tennis that allow a handicapper to make a profit:

  • Wide range of matches for every day
  • Matches throughout the year
  • It is enough to analyze the game of two tennis players

But, in my opinion, these are dubious advantages. Firstly, there is really a lot of tennis live every day. However, this is always a temptation for players who are undisciplined. They constantly get into some kind of jungle and drain the bank. It’s another matter when a capper monitors the play of 1-2 tennis players, which allows him to easily determine in what form they are approaching a particular match.


Many different tennis tournaments also sometimes result in failure for the players. I have nothing against Grand Slam tournaments, but little-known Challenger level tournaments or lower ITF tournaments are simply full of strange matches.

What can we say if the legendary Novak Djokovic himself admitted in one of his interviews that he was offered to play a scripted match at the very beginning of his career. The Serb was offered 10 thousand dollars - a big temptation for little-known and novice tennis players. There is no particular need to strain where the prize money is scanty, so many players make money at the expense of the office. How this all happens - I don’t know. But, as a rule, a third party is also involved in this - a certain “Singapore syndicate”. As a result, we have the fact that organizing a fixed match in tennis is as easy as shelling pears.

But when there is a fair fight, full of emotions, tennis becomes a wonderful sport:

Read also Value Betting - what is it and what is it used with?

Yes, well-known tennis players at more or less respectable tournaments do not get carried away with this. It is quite easy to suspect foul play - this is a blow to prestige and reputation. Many are not ready to sacrifice this for the sake of profit. Although, there are exceptions. Many tennis players from Eastern European countries are involved in such events; unfortunately, there are also representatives from Russia.

In any case, it’s up to you to decide whether to bet on live tennis or not.

Is there a good live tennis betting strategy?

I revised many approaches and concepts of the game. This includes a live tennis betting strategy 40 40, a tennis betting strategy for games, a tennis betting strategy for games and points. I want to say that almost all of them are unprofitable. The strategy for serving the favorite looks good. Here, in principle, you can make a profit, but slowly and routinely. The main thing to follow is:

  • Bet on the favorite to serve
  • Select only matches played on hard surfaces
  • Watch the game live and after 2-3 innings start betting

But, again, the odds are small, are you ready to bet 5 thousand rubles for 100-200 rubles? Agree, a dubious pleasure. Yes, there is a category of tennis players who hit aces like out of a cannon: Isner, Karlovich and a couple more can be found. Their serve very rarely fails, but if you bet on their serve and it suddenly fails, it will be very painful. Because it takes a long time to earn profits, but everything is lost in a matter of minutes.

Some also suggest playing according to this scheme using the financial strategy of catching up - here I am completely categorically against this approach. This is disastrous, especially for beginners. Now I will tell you what you should focus on before placing a bet on tennis. This concept was told to me by my foreign partner. I don't know how it works, but I think it is quite successful, since I have seen its results.

In this article, I don’t want to retell everything that the Internet is filled with and is replete with at every turn: the strategy of betting on live tennis on sets, points and catch-up games. All this is so hopeless and pointless. Ask 100 cappers who bet on live tennis, are they in the black or in the black? 90 of them will tell you: “Go to hell with these tennis players.” Maybe 10 people have found their own approach to the live tennis betting strategy.

Tennis is the most popular singles sport in the world. Each WTA Series tournament attracts millions of fans from all over the world. Tennis betting at a bookmaker's office enjoys a special buzz. Because analyzing individual tennis players takes much less time than studying teams. In addition, random actions of players and other factors of team play will not affect the result in tennis (with the exception of doubles).

The ATP and WTA series traditionally bring together the best representatives of tennis. It would seem that the influence of gender among professionals should be minimal. But as the results of testing hundreds and thousands of matches show, gender differences are noticeable.

The psychology of male and female behavior is smoothly projected onto their behavior on the court. Men and women experience defeat very differently. Having lost the second set, leading the games 1-0, the final results will be different:

In women's tennis, taking over the initiative usually occurs once per game. If the lagging opponent was able to equalize the score, then she is more likely to win the match.

Representatives of men's tennis tend to relax after winning the first game. A defeat in the second set doesn’t hit the psychology so hard, but becomes a kind of “encouraging slap in the face.” As a result, the winner of the first set will bring the game to victory more often.

These facts do not mean at all that any tennis match will take place exactly according to this scenario. All this is just a statistical calculation that should be kept in mind. Each game requires a separate, thorough analysis.

Influences of court surface type

There are very few universal tennis players who play equally well on all surfaces, and basically each of them has a favorite. Correctly setting priorities for the couple, in terms of coverage, will help in the bet. Remember the main characteristics and patterns of each coating in order to project them onto the athlete:

  • Grass - fastest tennis surface, is considered convenient for tennis players with fast and strong serves who prefer short rallies.
  • Soil - slowest court surface. Suitable for tennis marathoners as it has a slow and high ball bounce. When playing on clay, the price of a strong serve drops sharply, and sniper qualities and the ability to play along the line come first.
  • Hard - the most popular coating, used both in halls and outdoors. To play on hard, you will need both a strong serve and confident play in rallies.

The best indicator of a tennis player’s attitude towards a particular surface is the statistics of performances on it. Evaluation of the quality of the game should always be carried out in comparison with the top representatives of each of the surfaces.

Tennis betting

Having received basic knowledge about how coverage and gender influence, let’s move on to studying the features of tennis betting, moving from theory to practice.

An analysis of a tennis match should contain only three simple points.

  1. Determination of court coverage.
  2. Comparing the characteristics of tennis players, determining the preferences of each.
  3. History of personal meetings.

After studying all the information, you can safely proceed to betting.

Hello everyone. Today we will look at one interesting strategy for betting on tennis, something I haven’t paid enough attention to tennis. We need to correct this situation. Let's look at the game system for betting on tennis using examples and give a couple of tips on how you can have a 15-20% margin on tennis bets from your bankroll. By the way, bettors love tennis very much.

Statistical tennis betting strategy

There are a huge variety of strategies based on statistics And mathematics, plus combined strategies. Based on a combined approach, you can make good money.

This strategy is based on eliminating tennis players (on whom you could bet) who do not satisfy the following requirements:

  1. Tennis players with low morals who fold their hands after a bad set or a bad series of serves.
  2. Presence of new or old injuries.
  3. Tennis players who have to fly for a long time to the tournament. Plus we had five or six games in a row.
  4. Low motivation for the tournament (you need to look at what the player gets in the tournament in terms of overall rating).

Example in practice

Consider two tennis players (T1 and T2). T1 is the winner, T2 is the loser. For example, T1 took 80 points for the match, and T2 - 70 points. Let's calculate the winning tennis player coefficient T1 = 80/70 = 1,14 units.

Now, using this coefficient, we calculate how many points each player took in 1 set. For this 18*1.14 = 20.52 points theoretically scored T1 in the first set (18 is a constant from the number of points in the match), and T2 scored 18/1.14= 15.79 points. Now we need to convert all this stuff into probability units, and then into bk coefficients. And if the bookmaker offers a higher odds than yours, then you can bet.

For example, T1 is supposed to win 22 points in the first set, and T2 - 19 points. This means the probability of victory Т1=22/(22+19)= 53,7% , and the probability that T2 will win = 19/42= 46,3% from a hundred. The coefficient on T1 is 1/(53.7%/100)= 1,86 and T2 = 1/(46.3%/100)= 2,16 .

Combined tennis strategy and flat system

Now that you have calculated your odds, we look at what the bookmaker offers, if their odds are higher than you calculated, then we place bets. When playing for the long term, such a strategy should, in theory, give a plus, but when playing short, you can easily lose the bank, so together with this strategy we use the flat system.

Mathematical tennis betting strategy

Due to the fact that combined or mathematical strategies are quite complex for the average player, it is possible to place bets using the statistics of tennis players. For this strategy you will need a list the best players on someone else's serve.

As a result, you will end up with a list of players who may not be at the top of the ATP and WTA rankings - this is the norm :) You will need to take statistics for the last 2 years and take into account the starting odds of tennis players.

  • We need players who come to all tournaments - we make a rating based on the average number of break points for the entire game over 2 years.
  • We exclude games with a clear favorite
  • We exclude young tennis players
  • We remove everyone from the rating of 100 and below.
  • We write out the starting odds from the bookmaker
  • We multiply the calculated amount of break points by the starting odds from history.
  • We calculate the average value for this indicator - we get a certain number of points in the tennis player’s profitability rating.

Now, having a table with players and points, we can track games and wait for a break point for the outsider (a player from our table) in 1 set. Next, we bet on the favorite, because in 90% of cases it is the favorites who take the break points. Well, plus to everything, 1 set is not even finished yet, not to mention the others. This means you can raise quite well if you bet on the favorite with a stronger odds than before the start of the game. Keep in mind that victory has little to do with a quick break.

Combined Tenney Betting Strategy

Everything is very simple here. We take the first and second, mix and get an explosive mixture of strategies. By the way, it is quite possible to work with this approach.

Conclusion

In general, both tennis betting strategies have the right to life, but I would choose better mathematical or mixed than based on statistics. Well, for some reason I like her more. Overall, it's good that you learned these strategies.