How to bet on tennis: win-win strategies. Tennis

October 25 01/10/2019

Along with football and hockey, tennis has firmly established itself in the top three most popular sports disciplines. Fans and admirers of this sport can be found almost anywhere in the world. And hundreds of thousands of players from all over the world place interactive bets every day.

Tennis is considered to be an easily predictable sport. There are athletes who are among the first rackets in the world. There are outsiders from the second hundred. However, there are a number of nuances here, and even Djokovic and Andy Murray can lose, and not only to each other.

Effective Tennis Betting Strategies

There are many interactive tennis betting strategies. Some strategies are profitable in the long term, others are focused on a large bank, and others are based solely on the theory of probability. Let's look at the main developments.

Martingale

One of the classic strategies for managing a game bank. Bets are placed on any outcome from 2.00 and above. If you lose, the bet amount is doubled; if you win, it returns to the initial value. You can catch up on individual sets, athletes, and tournaments.

First bet. We bet 100 rubles on Petra Kvitova’s victory in the match between Kvitova and Elina Svitolina. Coefficient – 2.00. Defeat. Balance – minus 100 rubles.
Second bet. We bet 200 rubles on Caroline Wozniacki's victory in the match between Wozniacki and Caroline Pliskova. Coefficient – 2.00. Defeat. Balance – minus 300 rubles.
Third bet. We bet 400 rubles on Andrey Rublev's victory in the match between Rublev and Denis Kudla. Coefficient – 2.00. Winning. Balance – 100 rubles.

Shchukin's strategy

The strategy developer recommends betting on the victory of the tennis player who receives the serve. After one or two losses, the bet is increased by the amount of the original bet. The number of losses before increasing the bet depends on the selected odds: the bet must bring profit when passing. Experts recommend betting on odds from 2.00 to 3.50.

There are several nuances here.

You shouldn't bet on women's tennis. Either male or mix. In such fights there are many times more breaks.
There should be no clear favorite and underdog in the match. If one of the tennis players is much inferior to the other, he will not be able to take a single serve.
There is no need to bet if the score is 4:2 or 3:1 in favor of the receiver. The leader may not waste energy on a break and maintain the score.

Example. We select an event and start betting from a hundred.

First bet. 100 rubles for the victory of the first tennis player in the fourth game at odds of 2.10. Losing.

Second bet. 200 rubles for the victory of the second tennis player in the fifth game at odds of 3.50. The cycle continues until the bet goes through or the player loses the entire pot. For example, a break may occur in the eleventh game - this means that ten previous bets on this one will lose.

Strategy “Breaks and break points”

A bet on the leader winning after a break point by the outsider. This strategy is more suitable for experienced players who have collected detailed information about tournaments and individual tennis players.

You need to make a list of athletes who take opponents' serves well. A separate list of athletes is compiled who, losing at the beginning of the match, can make a break.

The lists are compiled for men's and women's tennis, for individual tournaments. Particular attention should be paid to the surface of the court: there are universal athletes who perform equally well on both hard and grass, but most athletes prefer one particular surface, performing at an average level on the others.

When compiling the lists, the activity of athletes over the last 2-3 years and the average number of break points per match are taken into account. Then matches with absolute favorites and matches with inexperienced athletes who are just feeling out their playing style are removed from the list. We leave only matches between players from the top 100. We study the standings and starting odds in the bookmaker.

Next, the “profitability” indicator is determined. The average break point in the match is multiplied by the bookmaker's odds. This indicator is displayed for each selected tennis player, after which the final rating is compiled, according to which bets are placed on the favorite to win after the opponent’s break point.

D'Alembert's strategy

D'Alembert is another modification. In a simplified version it looks like this:

The player selects the first bet amount and odds 2.00.
If the bet loses, the value of the next bet is increased by the amount of the first.
If the bet wins, the value of the next bet is reduced by the amount of the first.

Let's look at an example.

Bet 1000 rubles at odds of 2.00 on the victory of Petra Kvitova in the match between Petra Kvitova and Elina Svitolina. Losing.
Bet 2000 rubles at odds of 2.00 on Caroline Wozniacki's victory in the match Carolina Wozniacki - Caroline Pliskova. Losing.
Bet 3000 rubles at odds of 2.00 on Mannarino's victory in the match Adrian Mannarino - Karen Khachanov. Losing.
Bet 4,000 rubles at odds of 2.00 on Tsitsipas’ victory in the match Ernest Gulbis – Stefanos Tsitsipas. Winning, we get 8000.
Bet 3000 rubles at odds of 2.00 on Cilic's victory in the match Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic. Winning. We get 6000.

Total: three losses, two wins. We lost six thousand and received seven thousand in winning bets. The result of five bets is plus a thousand.

Flat in tennis betting

is the simplest system for working with a game bank. The player initially divides the bank into parts and allocates the amount that he is willing to spend on each individual bet. This amount does not change over a certain period of time, and winning or losing on each individual bet does not matter. This strategy is great for beginner players: it allows you to learn how to predict tennis matches without the risk of losing the entire pot.

The essence of the strategy is very simple. The player analyzes the match and evaluates the chances of the tennis players, chooses the outcome and places a bet. It is not recommended to bet on outcomes below 1.40 - in this case, you are unlikely to be able to win back the lost money. Each subsequent bet is equal to the previous one. Unlike catching up, here the goal is not to win back all previously lost bets and receive a nominal profit, but to be able to make as many bets as possible without the risk of losing all the money.

Are there win-win tennis betting strategies?

No strategy promises 100% results. Flat allows you to avoid losing your bank, and if you know how to predict outcomes, it provides a small, stable income.

And derivative strategies are theoretically a win-win. In practice, no one can predict when exactly a bet with the given parameters will play, and whether the bookmaker will pay out the money after that.

Most professional players develop their own strategies, guided solely by their own knowledge, experience, and instinct. It may be based on one of the basic financial strategies - for example, flat or Martingale, but the player sets everything else independently.

Why the best tennis betting strategy is different for everyone

The best strategy is the one that the player has developed for himself. He chooses the optimal type of bet for himself - for example, on winning a match or on total games. He selects one or more championships - for example, the Australian, French and US Opens and Wimbledon, which are part of the Grand Slam.

Next, the player studies the features of these tournaments. For example, Wimbledon takes place on grass, and the US and Australian championships take place on hard court. Accordingly, the same tennis player can show different results here.

Based on his own analysis, additional information, and study of third-party forecasts, the player makes a conclusion about whether his strategy is applicable to a given match, and how much money can be bet on a particular outcome. After this, the bet is completed and the player moves on to the next match.

In the process of developing your own strategy, you can work with flat trading. This is an excellent betting system for beginners, which allows you to gain experience and not lose the entire game pot. In the future, you can modify the flat to suit your development.

Betting on tennis at online bookmakers offers great earning opportunities that you need to know how to use. If you've been looking for the secrets of tennis betting, the philosopher's stone that turns every bet into gold, then you've come to the wrong place. And if you want to know all the nuances of online betting on tennis and learn to win at bookmakers using your knowledge in this sport, then the material below will certainly interest you.

Betting on tennis is a mix of bright emotions and crazy winnings

Advantages of betting on tennis

Tennis is one of the most popular sports among bookmakers. To be more precise, it ranks second among domestic players after football. This popularity is due to many factors, the most significant of which are the advantages of tennis betting:

No draw. Let's start with the fact that tennis is one of the sports where a draw is impossible. This greatly simplifies the bettor’s life, because he needs to choose the correct outcome among two options, and not three, as, for example, in football.
Single sport. You can argue for a long time about which sports it is better to bet on - singles or team sports, each has its own nuances, but if you come to a single conclusion, then victory will go to singles, among which, in fact, is tennis. The main argument is the analysis of the match. After all, it is much easier to assess the fitness of one tennis player than to get a real picture of the form of a team of 11 people.
Minimal influence of judges. Unlike many other sports, refereeing errors have minimal impact on the outcome of a tennis match. In addition, tennis players have the opportunity to request a video replay.
High percentage of comebacks. It is no secret that professional players bet on tennis in most cases live, anticipating the victory of the tennis player who is losing during the match, for whose victory the bookmakers at that moment gave a high odds.
A large number of tournaments. There are practically no gaps in the tennis calendar, and therefore betters have the opportunity to bet regularly, choosing games from a variety of tournaments of varying sizes.

It is also worth noting that when betting on tennis, bookmakers offer tempting odds, a wide line and a rich description, and broadcasts and detailed statistics can be easily found on the Internet. This is important. Learn how to bet on tennis correctly and convert these advantages into your own wealth. Betting on tennis matches is much easier than betting on games in other sports, but without the appropriate knowledge it is impossible to become a successful player.

Types of tennis bets at bookmakers

Bookmakers offer much fewer options for betting on tennis than on football, which is explained not so much by its popularity as by the specifics of this sport. But nevertheless, the list of the best bookmakers is rich in various offers, among which tennis connoisseurs will definitely find a suitable bet. Let's look at the main types of tennis bets:

Match winner– P1 or P2. The P1 bet wins if the tennis player listed first in the pair wins the match. Accordingly, if the second athlete wins, bet P2 will bring profit.
Total match– TB or TM. Total in tennis betting is the total number of games played in a match. The player needs to predict whether the game total will be more or less than the value set by the bookmaker.
Individual total– ITM or ITB. Individual total refers to the number of games won by a particular tennis player.
Correct score– 3:0, 3:1, 3:2, 2:3 and so on. The market is difficult to predict, but the risks are compensated by high quotes.
Win with handicap or Asian handicap. An opportunity to bet on a tennis player with a minus or plus handicap to win.
Presence of a tiebreaker in the match. Also, many operators offer to bet on whether there will be a tiebreaker in the fight.
Winner or total set. You can bet not on the entire match, but on individual sets - who will win, total, handicap.
Long-term bets on tennis. Most online bookmakers have markets with bets on the winners of various tournaments: Australian Open, Wimbledon, Roland Garros, US Open and others.

Before choosing an outcome for betting, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive analysis of tennis bets, which will be discussed in the next subsection.

Pre-match analytics in tennis

Everyone dreams of making win-win bets on tennis, but this is unrealistic unless you are the winner of some kind of psychic battle. But you should always strive to minimize the number of losses, and this can be achieved through serious pre-match analytics. Consider the following during your analysis:

Current form (recent games);
Court coverage and statistics of performances on it;
Psychological condition;
Motivation for the match and the tournament as a whole;
In-person meetings of tennis players;
Weather factor;
Recent injuries, etc.

Analyze matches, gain experience and learn from the pros by studying tennis predictions. With the right approach and constant self-development, you will be able to correctly assess your opponents' chances and make winning bets.

However, analysis and accurate forecasts alone do not guarantee results, since no one can win all the time, and therefore the strategy and tactics of tennis betting are of utmost importance. Read more about this in our special Game Strategy section. (at WinBetting.online)

Where to bet on tennis?

In the previous paragraphs we talked about how to bet on tennis and win, and finally we’ll talk about where to bet. This issue cannot be ignored, and, despite the seeming similarity of bookmakers for beginners, the differences between them are significant.

Choosing the right bookmaker– one of the important components of achieving success in tennis betting. Odds, line, design, bonuses, reliability, transparency of the rules - all this affects the player’s results. Use the professional rating of bookmakers to choose a good operator for tennis bets.

WinBetting.online is a popular online information portal about bookmakers and sports betting and forecasts.

The “ladder” strategy allows you, risking a small amount, to multiply the initial bank several times for 5-6 bets.

The principle of playing on the “ladder”

A part of the bank is allocated for bets, the loss of which will not be a tragedy for the bettor. We advise beginners to start with 100 rubles to understand the nuances of the strategy.

Step #1. We place the allocated amount (for example, 200 rubles) on an event with a low coefficient and a correspondingly high probability of passage (for example, 1.25). If the bet passes, the winnings will be 200 x 1.25 = 250 rubles.
Step #2. We bet not 200, but 250 rubles, choosing a reliable event with a low odds, for example, again 1.25. If the outcome is positive, the winnings will be 250 x 1.25 = 312.5 rubles.
Step No. 3,4,5... We bet 312.5 rubles. and if we pass, we continue to bet all-in on the entire winning amount.
The number of steps of the “ladder” is determined by the bettor himself: one will be satisfied with an increase in the initial amount by 5 times, and the other will want to reach a 100-fold increase in the bank.

Example of a "ladder"

An example of a “ladder” with an initial bet amount of 200 rubles. For 6 successful bets 200 rubles. turned into 1149 rubles, i.e. the initial amount increased 5.7 times.

How to bet according to strategy without losing

In our example, the bets were on tennis. This sport is ideal for the ladder strategy:

Regardless of the season, there are a large number of matches every day;
a match consists of sets, games, points, which allows you to make many bets of the same type in one match.

What to put a ladder on

According to statistics, in men's tennis, top players win 4 out of 5 games on their serve, which gives them an 80% win rate. If you add analysis, then “building a ladder” of 9-10 winning bets in a row when betting on a serving player is not that difficult.

Only grass or hard. A lot depends on the surface in tennis. The ground and carpet are “slow”, which benefits the receiving tennis player. The fast and low bounce of the ball on the grass adds difficulty when receiving, which is what is needed.
Men's tennis only. Breaks in women's tennis are common; even top tennis players are famous for their instability when serving. If we add here female emotionality and psychophysiological characteristics of the weaker sex, betting on a serving tennis player is risky.

The strategy of betting on the favorite in tennis is popular among a certain part of bettors. They claim that with its help you can earn substantial money with virtually no risk. Opponents of the technique complain that a successful game will require a substantial bankroll, and a series of several unsuccessful matches will completely devastate the gaming account. In this article we will look at the main strategies for betting on the favorite in tennis.

Betting strategy on the winner in tennis - catching up

The technique is based on the classic catch-up - increasing each subsequent bet in case of an unsuccessful outcome until a positive result occurs. The winnings should cover all losses from unsuccessful bets and bring profit.

To successfully play the strategy of betting on the winner in tennis, you will need a significant bank. It must be divided so that there is enough money for 5-7 iterations (bet). This will help you get even if you run into a bad streak. Ideally, if you have enough money for 10-15 laps.

For example, we bet 1000 rubles on the Favorite to win, odds 1.55. Our tennis player is losing.

In the next meeting we bet not 1000, but 3000 rubles on the same athlete. The coefficient is 1.60. Defeat again.

We're raising our bets on him winning the next game. We bet 9000 rubles. The coefficient is 1.60. The bet is closed.

Let's calculate the winnings: 9000 * 1.60 = 14400 – 9000 (our bet) – 4000 (lost bets) = 1400 rubles of net profit.

Coefficient.
Previously lost funds.
Desired winnings.

The choice of bookmaker plays a key role. Find the office with the lowest margin. The ideal option is if it does not exceed 5%. At first glance, it seems that the difference between the coefficients is not so significant. But any professional player knows that every hundredth is important at a distance. This is especially noticeable when playing with low odds.

Selection of matches for betting on the favorite in tennis

We come to the most interesting part – selecting matches for betting. This point requires special attention. After all, a thorough analysis will allow you to more accurately predict the result of the upcoming game.

To determine the favorite, the bettor must first study the ratings of tennis players.

In theory, everything is quite simple - the higher an athlete is on the list, the stronger he is. In practice, things are somewhat different.

Tennis players have a fairly busy calendar. They often save their energy by not scattering themselves on minor tournaments. Some athletes participate in to get in shape, while others allow them to earn money or ranking points.

In any case, if we are talking about a prestigious tournament, it is unlikely that the fifth racket will lose to the 128th.

Tennis betting based on factor strategy

Carefully study the statistics of head-to-head meetings between athletes.
The degree of penetration of the odds. Analyze the last 10 games of a tennis player. If he constantly breaks the bookmaker’s handicap, then the bookmaker’s analysts underestimate him.
Statistics of performances on a specific surface for each athlete for the calendar year.

Bet on the tennis player who wins in all three indicators.

For example, take the match between Djokovic and Dimitrov:

Statistics of head-to-head matches on grass. Djokovic (2-0).

Statistics of personal games. Djokovic (6-2).

Degree of handicap penetration over the last 10 games: Djokovic (+14), Dimitrov (+7).

Statistics of performances on the relevant surface for the calendar year:

Djokovic (11-3).

Dimitrov (7-3).

In all respects, Djokovic wins confidently. If a tennis player wins in terms of indicators, then you need to bet on him. Bookmaker analysts share our opinion, presenting the tennis player as the undisputed favorite of the match. The odds for Djokovic to win are 1.36.

In the current ATP rankings, Dimitrov is ranked fifth and Djokovic is ranked 22nd. But the favorite of the match is the Serbian tennis player. The fact is that Novak missed a lot due to injury and at the time of the match with Dimitrov he was returning to the big sport. He is just getting into optimal playing condition, so he may not be in the best shape. This factor must be taken into account when choosing a match. In such games, the bettor needs to carefully monitor the bookmaker's line. Value coefficients may slip through it.

Strategy based on ELO rating

This rating does not show the number of points scored in various tournaments, but the pattern of play of each tennis player. Analysts form it based on the real strength of a certain opponent. A match with a more skilled opponent will bring more points to your treasury than a game with an outsider. The ELO ranking does not take into account the stage of the tournament.

For example: a difference of 100 points means that the tennis player will win with a probability of 64%, 200 points - 76%, 300 - 85%, 400 - 91%, 500 - 95%.

The pass rate of bets on the favorite to win, made using this strategy, was more than 70% in the 2017 season.

If you want to get more accurate calculations, you can use ELO on a specific coating. Add total ELO and ELO on ground.

Let's enter the following parameters:

Current ELO rating.
Current ELO rating on the relevant coverage.
ELO rating three months ago.
ELO rating on coverage three months ago.

We calculate the relative index for each tennis player:

I (index) = (current ELO + current ELO on the cover) / (ELO three months ago + ELO on the cover three months ago).

You need to bet on the athlete with a higher score.

Live betting strategy on the favorite in tennis

The technique is based on changes in live quotes. If the match started unsuccessfully for the favorite (odds for victory no more than 1.60) (for example, behind in games), then the odds for his victory increases (1.80-1.90). If the quotes have increased by 10% or more compared to the preliminary ones, then it is a favorable time to enter the game. Bets must be placed only in the first game. It is advisable to bet in the first six games.

Tennis matches rarely develop according to a well-established scenario, so live odds change quite often. This allows bettors to earn additional profit.

Conclusion

We looked at the main strategies for betting on the winner in tennis. If you strictly follow the rules, you can count on significant profits. Analyze statistics of tennis players' performances. This will help you make better predictions. Test the method on a virtual account. If you start winning consistently, switch to real money.

Tennis Betting Strategy different from betting strategies for team sports. It is believed that the outcome of a tennis match is easier to predict than the outcome of football or hockey.

The main advantage of tennis for bettors is the almost continuous season. Tournaments take place on different continents regardless of the season. There are a lot of techniques and developments on the Internet that, according to their authors, allow you to gain an advantage over the bookmaker. But not all of them are so promising, so it is important for the bettor to understand which tennis strategy to pay attention to and which to ignore.

Live tennis betting

Players prefer to place bets live. This is the attractiveness of tennis - at any moment several tennis matches are being played and there is always something to bet on live. Plus, the bookmaker opens additional markets live to attract new customers.

Before the event starts, the line is balanced - it’s difficult to find a worthwhile odds. Tennis is very dynamic, so in live there are often imbalances that are interesting for the bettor. To find valuable odds and inconsistencies, certain methods have been developed for profitable tennis betting.

Win-win strategies

Break in the game;
“40-40” - yes/no;
Draws in the game;
Totals and handicaps;
Comeback of the favorite in the set;
Even/odd;

A tennis player who confidently holds someone else's serve is a good option for betting on a break in the game. You can understand what form a player is in after two or three plays. If everything is in order with our master of the technique, why not bet on his break? In confrontations between equal opponents, long rallies with break points often occur. The odds for the beginning of the game on the “40-40 - Yes” market fluctuate in the range of 2.50 - 3.60 - a favorable position for betting.

How to bet on tennis using strategies

An almost win-win betting strategy would be a tennis match where there is a clear outsider. Then the game score rarely reaches 40-40 - an excellent option for entering the “40-40 - No” market.

Fans of catching up bet on the draws in the game. Repeating the selected outcome in each draw is quite simple, and the odds are often quite good.

Live strategy for totals and handicaps in tennis stand apart. The draws of top tennis players last up to 13 games in the first set. In confrontations between athletes of different classes, the total rarely reaches more than 10.5.

Equal opponents rarely give up a set with an advantage of more than two games. In matches where the favorite plays an outsider, minus handicaps in sets and games work well.

Super tennis strategies include the favorite's comeback in a set. The leaders let the middle players go during the set, and then confidently catch up with them and win. It is important to distinguish the slight imposing behavior of a tennis player from the top 20 rankings from truly weak form.

The percentage of matches with an even total is approximately 75%. Experienced bettors skillfully handle live statistics, which allows them to place bets on even/odd markets.

Profitable pre-match strategies in tennis

Totals for the main outcome;
Handicap by sets;
Accurate score.

Pre-match analysis is sufficient to determine the likely total of a tennis match. Matches with an obvious favorite rarely break through the classic total of 20.5 games. The total is higher in games of equal opponents - a sure bet, which is used by experienced bettors.

The fights of top athletes are characterized by persistent fighting and the maximum number of sets and games. Set handicap (+1.5) is suitable for matches of equal opponents, minus handicap is suitable for a “favorite vs underdog” game.

The strategy of betting on the exact score of a tennis match attracts with high odds. Determining the probability of an accurate score in tennis is easier than in team sports. In confrontations between tennis players of different classes, the popular outcome is “2-0”.

The best tennis betting strategy for beginners

Pre-match betting is a good type of bet on tennis matches. It’s easy for an inexperienced bettor to quickly find their way around the live game, so it is recommended to first practice their skills in the pre-match.

Many methods advise scrupulously following specific players or tournaments so that, having become an expert in a certain segment, you can beat the bookmaker in a narrow area. From season to season, the bettor “guides” his athlete, knowing his characteristics, physical readiness, favorite and least favorite opponents, preferred surfaces, peaks of form, injuries, downs and ups.